A Fragile Path Towards Peace

Path Towards Peace

Path Towards Peace: The United States and Iran have agreed on a framework for peace talks. Pakistan helped mediate the deal with support from regional countries. The agreement followed months of secret negotiations. Although officials have not released the full details, the deal has raised hopes for ending the war. Both sides now have 60 days to work toward a broader peace agreement.

Major Obstacles Remain

President Donald Trump has softened his earlier position. However, several difficult issues remain unresolved. These include Iran’s nuclear programme, the future of the Strait of Hormuz, frozen Iranian assets, and US sanctions. Israel’s refusal to join the process may also complicate negotiations. Its military operations in Lebanon could create further tensions.

Pakistan’s Peace Role

Pakistan played a key role in bringing both countries to the negotiating table. Other regional states also supported the effort. The first round of talks, called the Islamabad Talks, did not produce a breakthrough. However, it helped keep communication channels open. Gulf countries also urged Washington to end the conflict because the war harmed the region.

America’s Failed Objectives

Both sides still face a major challenge: building trust. Yet one fact stands out. The United States failed to achieve its goals in the war. The US and Israel launched Operation Epic Fury on February 28. The operation failed to meet its objectives. American forces damaged Iran’s military infrastructure and killed senior leaders. However, Iran refused to surrender. The US naval blockade also failed to cripple Iran’s economy.

Iran’s Strategic Gains

Trump underestimated Iran’s ability to resist pressure. He expected a quick victory, but the conflict became long and costly. Eventually, Washington accepted peace talks. The United States also appeared willing to consider several Iranian demands. Negotiators postponed the nuclear issue for future discussions. Despite suffering losses, Iran strengthened its regional position. Many now see it as a symbol of resistance.

Political and Diplomatic Fallout

The war also created political problems for Trump. It divided his supporters. Some opposed foreign military interventions, while others wanted a tougher approach. Rising inflation and economic costs further reduced public support for the administration.

The conflict also damaged America’s ties with several Western allies. Many governments refused to support the war because they considered it illegal. The conflict hurt their economies as well. Recovery may take years, even if peace efforts succeed.

Israel’s Role in Peace Talks

Israel remains a major concern for Washington. On the same day that the US and Iran announced the agreement, Israel intensified its attacks in Lebanon. Israeli leaders argued that the deal did not apply to them. Reports suggest that ending hostilities in Lebanon forms part of the broader understanding. However, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel would continue occupying parts of Lebanese territory.

Israeli Opposition to Agreement

Several Israeli ministers openly criticised the agreement. National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir called for continued military action in southern Lebanon. Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich described the deal as harmful. Reports also suggest that Trump and Netanyahu exchanged harsh words. Despite these tensions, a complete break in relations remains unlikely. Israel continues to challenge regional peace efforts.

Shift in Gulf Relations

The war also reshaped Middle Eastern politics. Relations between the United States and several Arab and Gulf countries became strained. These countries suffered from Iranian attacks on American military bases located on their territory. Many Gulf states relied heavily on Washington for protection. During the conflict, however, they felt exposed and vulnerable. As costs increased, several governments changed their views on the war.

US Proposed Security Shift

Trump recently proposed a new security arrangement for the region. He suggested that the United States could act as a paid security provider. In return, America would receive a share of regional revenues. Gulf countries already spend billions of dollars on American security support. Many now question whether this arrangement truly serves their interests.

Emerging Regional Realignment

As a result, some regional states may seek alternative security partnerships. Relations between Iran and several Gulf countries have already improved. This trend could strengthen regional stability and reduce the risk of future conflicts.

Fragile Peace Progress

The agreement has opened the door to meaningful negotiations in Geneva. The talks aim to resolve a conflict with major global consequences. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has helped restore shipping. The easing of the US naval blockade has also improved trade flows. These developments have reduced pressure on the global economy. However, the peace process remains fragile, and many obstacles still lie ahead.

Published in Dawn, 17th June 2026

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